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Can Cancer Be Predicted Like a Lottery?
#1
Hey absolutely everyone, I stumbled upon this interesting article claiming that cancer could be predicted like a lottery. What do you all think of this?
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#2
Hmm, that sounds intriguing. but how really do they indicate like a lottery ? Are they talking on random chance or something else?
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#3
I'm curious too. It seems like a unusual comparison to make. Cancer is so complex, I can't think about it being as simple as picking numbers out of a hat.
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#4
Yeah, that's what caught my mind too. apparently, they're utilizing algorithms and data analysis to forecast the likelihood of somebody developing cancer. but it still feels like a little bit of a extend to compare it to winning or losing in a lottery.
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#5
I see what you mean. But maybe they're trying to draw attention to the unpredictability of it all. Like, even if you get certain risk factors, it's still not a guarantee that you'll get cancer.
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#6
That's a good position. Cancer is influenced by so several factors—genetics, lifestyle, environmental exposures—it's difficult to forecast with absolute certainty.
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#7
True. And I guess there's always a level of uncertainty with any prediction model, only like with a lottery. You might get the numbers that are statistically more probably to win, but there's still a chance you'll lose.
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#8
So do you think those prediction models are actually useful then? Or is it only generating unnecessary anxiety for people?
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#9
I consider it could be a double-edged sword. On a hand, if it helps identify people who are at higher risk, they could take preventive measures or undergo more frequent screenings. But on the more hand, there's the danger of false positives causing unnecessary stress .
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#10
Yeah, it's definitely a tricky balance. We want to use all the tools available to us to fight cancer, but we on top need to be mindful of the potential consequences of over-predicting or over-diagnosing.
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